How does el nino affect texas

Even for Florida and the Southeast U. The Gulf Coast generally sees cooler and wetter conditions, not because of numerous arctic outbreaks, but because of the stronger influence of the subtropical jet stream. Storm tracks are farther south on average, producing more clouds, rain, and severe weather.

Figure 1. Florida winter rainfall distributions are explained in Figure 2. Figure 2. Many portions of the U. However, the Ohio Valley is below normal, and the southern tier of States from California to Florida is above normal with some spots averaging as much as 5 inches above normal. Storms making landfall in California and storms developing in the Gulf of Mexico are the culprits.

Figure 3. Figure 4 graphically describes the temperature distribution across the U. Figure 4. It is natural to assume that severe weather will also occur farther south. It does!! Figure 5. Figure 6 illustrates this effect. An event is decribed in the following manner. But this year, the average temperature in October as of Monday has been Winter will be warmer and drier than normal.

The National Weather Service also expects the rest of fall and winter to warmer and drier than normal, White said. Drought conditions could expand and worsen. Northern parts of Travis County were experiencing abnormally dry conditions as of Oct. It typically means warmer and drier weather that can last for months over much of the country. Nielsen-Gammon said the latest Climate Prediction Center forecast has the chances of substantially drier than normal conditions for the next several months at around 50 percent, with the chances of substantially wetter than normal conditions closer to 15 percent.

Just about every such model is predicting dry and warm conditions for Texas over the next few months, he noted, and it is rare to find that much consistency among the long-range models. The Climate prediction Center gives far West Texas almost no chance of being much cooler than normal, he said. This could make for a very hard winter and spring for farmers and ranchers around Lubbock, Midland and the Big Bend area. Geographer Julie Loisel will talk about preserving and restoring peatlands and how they can help tackle the climate crisis.